NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN IONA
Points 74.8 71.7
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 26.2
Points From Free Throws 14.7 11.1
Shooting QUIN IONA
Field Goals Made 26.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 61.5
Field Goal % 47.4% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 14.7 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 16.8
Free Throw % 76.5% 66.3%
Ball Control QUIN IONA
Rebounds 38.6 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.2
Turnovers 13.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.7
Steals 5.6 7.8
Fouls 13.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN IONA
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 71.8
% of Possessions with QUIN IONA
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.2% 18.8%
Turnover 18.8% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN IONA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 26.3%