NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN MAN
Points 80.3 67.5
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 23.4
Points From Free Throws 12.6 9.5
Shooting QUIN MAN
Field Goals Made 29.9 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 60.5
Field Goal % 47.4% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 12.6 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 12.9
Free Throw % 76.5% 73.2%
Ball Control QUIN MAN
Rebounds 40.2 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 8.2
Turnovers 10.5 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.5
Steals 8.0 6.7
Fouls 12.1 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN MAN
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 68.3
% of Possessions with QUIN MAN
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 29.4%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.8%
Turnover 14.5% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN MAN
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 22.3%