NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXST RICE
Points 69.8 70.1
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 20.3
Points From Free Throws 12.3 14.3
Shooting TXST RICE
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 54.3
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.6 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 12.3 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.6
Free Throw % 70.3% 69.2%
Ball Control TXST RICE
Rebounds 35.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.6
Turnovers 10.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.8
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 15.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXST RICE
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 66.9
% of Possessions with TXST RICE
2 Point Attempt 54.4% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 25.7%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.0%
Turnover 14.7% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXST RICE
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 25.8%