NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN SIE
Points 77.2 62.6
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 18.7
Points From Free Throws 13.1 11.2
Shooting QUIN SIE
Field Goals Made 28.4 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 56.9
Field Goal % 44.4% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 13.1 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 16.3
Free Throw % 76.5% 68.7%
Ball Control QUIN SIE
Rebounds 37.9 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.5
Turnovers 8.6 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.2
Steals 8.7 4.5
Fouls 13.5 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN SIE
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 67.7
% of Possessions with QUIN SIE
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 25.1%
Player Fouled 17.6% 19.2%
Turnover 12.2% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN SIE
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 31.1%