NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN FAIR
Points 77.0 75.6
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 29.1
Points From Free Throws 10.9 12.2
Shooting QUIN FAIR
Field Goals Made 29.1 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 61.2
Field Goal % 48.1% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 10.9 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 16.5
Free Throw % 76.5% 74.0%
Ball Control QUIN FAIR
Rebounds 38.2 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.3
Turnovers 12.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.3
Steals 5.6 7.8
Fouls 13.1 11.3

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN FAIR
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 71.3
% of Possessions with QUIN FAIR
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 32.7%
Player Fouled 15.8% 18.3%
Turnover 17.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN FAIR
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 25.4%