NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN MD
Points 63.4 73.8
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 19.6
Points From Free Throws 12.7 17.5
Shooting QUIN MD
Field Goals Made 22.6 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 56.8
Field Goal % 37.9% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 12.7 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 23.9
Free Throw % 76.5% 73.1%
Ball Control QUIN MD
Rebounds 34.8 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.5
Turnovers 12.0 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.4
Steals 5.7 6.0
Fouls 17.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN MD
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 71.6
% of Possessions with QUIN MD
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 25.6%
Player Fouled 18.6% 24.1%
Turnover 17.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN MD
Shot Blocked 9.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 32.3%