NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN AAMU
Points 73.9 72.2
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 15.5
Points From Free Throws 20.4 18.1
Shooting ALCN AAMU
Field Goals Made 24.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 52.4
Field Goal % 42.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 20.4 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 28.3 25.0
Free Throw % 72.2% 72.3%
Ball Control ALCN AAMU
Rebounds 36.4 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 9.8
Turnovers 11.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.0
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 17.4 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN AAMU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 68.5
% of Possessions with ALCN AAMU
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 19.7%
Player Fouled 24.9% 24.2%
Turnover 15.4% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN AAMU
Shot Blocked 7.6% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 37.5% 30.6%