NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRAD INST
Points 74.5 76.0
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 30.3
Points From Free Throws 10.1 16.9
Shooting BRAD INST
Field Goals Made 27.9 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 54.6
Field Goal % 47.0% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 27.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 10.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 20.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 80.7%
Ball Control BRAD INST
Rebounds 32.1 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.4
Turnovers 10.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.0
Steals 6.5 5.5
Fouls 15.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRAD INST
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 66.9
% of Possessions with BRAD INST
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 33.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 34.4%
Player Fouled 18.7% 21.6%
Turnover 14.3% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRAD INST
Shot Blocked 1.8% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 23.1%