NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN COOK
Points 75.0 76.0
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 21.2 16.2
Shooting ALCN COOK
Field Goals Made 24.3 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 56.2
Field Goal % 45.6% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 21.2 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 29.4 21.3
Free Throw % 72.2% 75.9%
Ball Control ALCN COOK
Rebounds 36.1 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.0
Turnovers 12.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.9
Steals 6.9 7.5
Fouls 15.6 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN COOK
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 69.7
% of Possessions with ALCN COOK
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 16.6% 24.5%
Player Fouled 25.2% 21.8%
Turnover 16.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN COOK
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.3% 27.4%