NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU OHIO
Points 68.6 78.6
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 28.1
Points From Free Throws 12.7 15.2
Shooting WMU OHIO
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 60.2
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 20.6
Free Throw % 61.5% 74.1%
Ball Control WMU OHIO
Rebounds 40.4 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.6
Turnovers 13.3 8.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.3
Steals 3.7 6.9
Fouls 15.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU OHIO
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 72.5
% of Possessions with WMU OHIO
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 32.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.0%
Turnover 18.7% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU OHIO
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 36.5% 26.6%