NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU BYU
Points 71.4 79.8
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 29.5
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.7
Shooting SCU BYU
Field Goals Made 25.8 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 62.7
Field Goal % 43.9% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 20.3
Free Throw % 69.6% 72.5%
Ball Control SCU BYU
Rebounds 36.9 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.5
Turnovers 11.0 7.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.4
Steals 3.6 5.6
Fouls 15.4 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Santa Clara

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU BYU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 75.2
% of Possessions with SCU BYU
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 37.2%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.3%
Turnover 15.2% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCU BYU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 27.3%