NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU SF
Points 68.4 72.6
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 21.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 12.5
Shooting SCU SF
Field Goals Made 23.1 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 59.8
Field Goal % 43.5% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 14.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 16.9
Free Throw % 69.6% 74.2%
Ball Control SCU SF
Rebounds 36.2 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.8
Turnovers 13.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.8
Steals 3.9 7.7
Fouls 15.0 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU SF
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.5
% of Possessions with SCU SF
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 30.1%
Player Fouled 25.0% 21.2%
Turnover 18.7% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCU SF
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 24.5%