NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU KENT
Points 68.8 75.9
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 26.3
Points From Free Throws 12.2 14.7
Shooting WMU KENT
Field Goals Made 24.4 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 60.5
Field Goal % 43.2% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 20.1
Free Throw % 61.5% 73.1%
Ball Control WMU KENT
Rebounds 38.0 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.6
Turnovers 13.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.7
Steals 4.2 6.5
Fouls 15.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU KENT
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 73.1
% of Possessions with WMU KENT
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 29.1%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.1%
Turnover 18.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU KENT
Shot Blocked 2.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 31.2%