NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU MAN
Points 74.3 69.0
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 23.3
Points From Free Throws 11.3 9.9
Shooting WMU MAN
Field Goals Made 27.4 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 61.5
Field Goal % 45.9% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 11.3 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 13.5
Free Throw % 61.5% 73.2%
Ball Control WMU MAN
Rebounds 41.3 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 8.7
Turnovers 11.8 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.9
Steals 5.4 7.4
Fouls 12.5 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU MAN
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 69.6
% of Possessions with WMU MAN
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.0% 17.5%
Turnover 16.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU MAN
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 23.3%