NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU SELA
Points 71.3 68.9
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 23.6
Points From Free Throws 10.9 13.8
Shooting WMU SELA
Field Goals Made 25.2 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 57.6
Field Goal % 43.0% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 10.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 18.6
Free Throw % 61.5% 74.0%
Ball Control WMU SELA
Rebounds 38.7 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 10.7
Turnovers 11.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.3
Steals 4.7 6.8
Fouls 14.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU SELA
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 69.5
% of Possessions with WMU SELA
2 Point Attempt 34.8% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 27.4%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.2%
Turnover 16.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU SELA
Shot Blocked 2.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 29.4%