NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU MISS
Points 66.7 81.6
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 24.2
Points From Free Throws 11.8 16.1
Shooting WMU MISS
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 60.5
Field Goal % 39.9% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 11.8 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 22.1
Free Throw % 61.5% 73.0%
Ball Control WMU MISS
Rebounds 37.9 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 11.5
Turnovers 13.1 8.3
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.7
Steals 4.0 8.0
Fouls 15.6 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU MISS
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 74.3
% of Possessions with WMU MISS
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.1% 22.0%
Turnover 18.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU MISS
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 32.6%