NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WMU M-OH
Points 66.3 71.0
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.8 12.8
Shooting WMU M-OH
Field Goals Made 23.6 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.3
Field Goal % 40.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 11.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 17.9
Free Throw % 61.5% 71.5%
Ball Control WMU M-OH
Rebounds 41.2 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 7.5
Turnovers 12.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.9
Steals 4.8 6.4
Fouls 16.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WMU M-OH
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 68.1
% of Possessions with WMU M-OH
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 29.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.8%
Turnover 17.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WMU M-OH
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 21.1%