NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID MAN
Points 75.0 66.5
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 22.5
Points From Free Throws 13.8 11.0
Shooting RID MAN
Field Goals Made 27.5 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 60.0
Field Goal % 46.1% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 43.4 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 13.8 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 15.0
Free Throw % 76.3% 73.2%
Ball Control RID MAN
Rebounds 39.6 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.5
Turnovers 10.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.2
Steals 6.7 7.1
Fouls 12.8 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID MAN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 68.7
% of Possessions with RID MAN
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 18.1% 18.0%
Turnover 14.7% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID MAN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 22.6%