NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID MRST
Points 62.7 64.0
Total Points   126.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 21.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.4
Shooting RID MRST
Field Goals Made 21.1 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 53.6
Field Goal % 40.3% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 18.4
Free Throw % 76.3% 72.8%
Ball Control RID MRST
Rebounds 35.9 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 7.7
Turnovers 11.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.8
Steals 6.0 6.2
Fouls 14.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID MRST
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 64.6
% of Possessions with RID MRST
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 26.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.1%
Turnover 17.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID MRST
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 22.3%