NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID SIE
Points 72.5 62.4
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 18.1
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.1
Shooting RID SIE
Field Goals Made 26.2 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 56.5
Field Goal % 43.5% 38.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 19.1
Free Throw % 76.3% 68.7%
Ball Control RID SIE
Rebounds 37.1 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.0
Turnovers 8.6 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.9
Steals 7.2 4.8
Fouls 14.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID SIE
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 68.6
% of Possessions with RID SIE
2 Point Attempt 53.5% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 24.7%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.6%
Turnover 12.4% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID SIE
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 31.6%