NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID FAIR
Points 72.2 74.4
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 27.7
Points From Free Throws 12.0 14.2
Shooting RID FAIR
Field Goals Made 27.1 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 60.0
Field Goal % 47.2% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 12.0 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 19.2
Free Throw % 76.3% 74.0%
Ball Control RID FAIR
Rebounds 37.3 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.6
Turnovers 12.1 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.1
Steals 4.7 8.3
Fouls 13.7 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID FAIR
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 71.4
% of Possessions with RID FAIR
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 32.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 19.6%
Turnover 17.3% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID FAIR
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 25.8%