NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RID ASU
Points 66.5 72.3
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 19.9
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.9
Shooting RID ASU
Field Goals Made 23.0 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 57.4
Field Goal % 40.0% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 24.4
Free Throw % 76.3% 65.3%
Ball Control RID ASU
Rebounds 38.5 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.6
Turnovers 12.6 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.4
Steals 4.8 8.3
Fouls 16.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RID ASU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 72.1
% of Possessions with RID ASU
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 26.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 22.7%
Turnover 17.5% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RID ASU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 22.9%