NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL HOW
Points 84.9 71.7
Total Points   156.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 23.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 15.3
Shooting BEL HOW
Field Goals Made 29.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 57.8
Field Goal % 52.5% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 62.1% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 76.0%
Ball Control BEL HOW
Rebounds 32.0 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 10.5
Turnovers 10.2 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.3
Steals 7.4 5.4
Fouls 14.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL HOW
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 70.5
% of Possessions with BEL HOW
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 25.6%
Player Fouled 23.3% 20.4%
Turnover 14.0% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL HOW
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 29.1%