NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL DRKE
Points 75.3 79.4
Total Points   154.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 25.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.1
Shooting BEL DRKE
Field Goals Made 26.7 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 61.0
Field Goal % 47.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 18.9
Free Throw % 73.1% 74.8%
Ball Control BEL DRKE
Rebounds 33.1 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 8.1
Turnovers 11.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 1.7
Steals 5.9 6.4
Fouls 14.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL DRKE
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 72.5
% of Possessions with BEL DRKE
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 29.2%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.2%
Turnover 15.7% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL DRKE
Shot Blocked 2.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 23.0%