NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA PEPP
Points 69.5 63.2
Total Points   132.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 29.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 20.3
Points From Free Throws 16.2 13.4
Shooting UCLA PEPP
Field Goals Made 24.1 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 52.7
Field Goal % 45.7% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 13.9 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 16.2 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 19.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 69.8%
Ball Control UCLA PEPP
Rebounds 34.5 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.8
Turnovers 9.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.6
Steals 5.2 3.7
Fouls 17.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Pepperdine

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA PEPP
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 64.6
% of Possessions with UCLA PEPP
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 25.5%
Player Fouled 25.2% 26.3%
Turnover 13.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA PEPP
Shot Blocked 3.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 25.7%