NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU NDSU
Points 75.5 69.4
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 20.2
Points From Free Throws 12.4 15.4
Shooting ETSU NDSU
Field Goals Made 28.0 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 53.0
Field Goal % 46.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.4 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 20.7
Free Throw % 66.1% 74.1%
Ball Control ETSU NDSU
Rebounds 36.5 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.1
Turnovers 8.7 12.0
Blocked Shots 6.5 1.2
Steals 6.4 3.7
Fouls 16.9 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU NDSU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 64.5
% of Possessions with ETSU NDSU
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 24.2%
Player Fouled 18.4% 24.3%
Turnover 12.5% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU NDSU
Shot Blocked 2.4% 10.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 22.4%