NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO PRE
Points 66.9 70.1
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 14.4
Points From Free Throws 14.0 13.4
Shooting CHSO PRE
Field Goals Made 23.2 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 57.8
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 28.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 20.3
Free Throw % 69.7% 66.0%
Ball Control CHSO PRE
Rebounds 35.9 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.6
Turnovers 11.3 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.8
Steals 3.6 6.2
Fouls 15.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO PRE
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 69.8
% of Possessions with CHSO PRE
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 21.4%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.6%
Turnover 16.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO PRE
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 24.1%