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E Tenn St at Samford
Sat Feb 22, 2020
3:00pm ET
Birmingham, AL
E Tenn St at Samford: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: East Tennessee St. by 14, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ETSU | adv | SAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | W6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 12-9-0 | 10-7-0 |
E Tenn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | King College | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Elon | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Butler | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Davidson | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Alab A&M | -11.5 | W by 11 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | App State | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Jksnville St | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | TN Tech | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Tusculum | -- | W by 62 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Utah St | +18.0 | L by 15 | +3.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | E Carolina | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Mercer | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | W Carolina | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Furman | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Wofford | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Chattanooga | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | VMI | -10.5 | W by 1 | -9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Samford | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Mercer | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Citadel | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wofford | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Furman | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Chattanooga | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Carolina | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | VMI | -18.5 | W by 13 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Samford | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Citadel | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | VMI | -17.5 | W by 32 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | NC-Grnsboro | +7.0 | W by 11 | +18.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Chattanooga | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Samford | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| ETSU -14.0 | Open | -14.0 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -13.5 | Low | -13.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 176 games where the closing line favored the away team by 13 to 15 points. In these games:
- The team like East Tennessee St. won the game 162 times (92.0%).
- The team like Samford won the game 14 times (8.0%).
- The team like Samford did better against the spread, going 93-76-7 (55.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3575 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like East Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 1761-1746-68 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.0 |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.5 | -13.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/22 03:00 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 02:15 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 01:02 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 12:49 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 10:01 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 09:20 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 06:55 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 05:08 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 02:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 02/22 02:25 AM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 02/22 02:22 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 02/21 09:31 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 02/21 07:25 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
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