NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO KENN
Points 72.0 76.9
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 19.6
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.1
Shooting CHSO KENN
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 63.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 21.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 67.1%
Ball Control CHSO KENN
Rebounds 39.3 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.3
Turnovers 11.7 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.7
Steals 3.7 6.0
Fouls 16.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO KENN
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 76.3
% of Possessions with CHSO KENN
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 27.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.8%
Turnover 15.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO KENN
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 26.1%