NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU FUR
Points 73.6 74.5
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 26.7
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.9
Shooting ETSU FUR
Field Goals Made 26.7 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 58.6
Field Goal % 43.6% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 22.0
Free Throw % 66.1% 72.6%
Ball Control ETSU FUR
Rebounds 39.3 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 10.0
Turnovers 10.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.8 2.6
Steals 6.6 6.3
Fouls 15.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU FUR
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 71.3
% of Possessions with ETSU FUR
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 33.3%
Player Fouled 19.3% 21.8%
Turnover 14.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU FUR
Shot Blocked 4.6% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 27.4%