NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHSO MSU
Points 53.7 77.1
Total Points   130.7
Points From 2-Pointers 24.1 47.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 16.0
Points From Free Throws 9.7 13.6
Shooting CHSO MSU
Field Goals Made 18.7 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 60.5
Field Goal % 34.2% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 12.1 23.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 44.0
2 Point Shooting % 37.1% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 9.7 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 18.7
Free Throw % 69.7% 72.5%
Ball Control CHSO MSU
Rebounds 31.1 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.0
Turnovers 12.3 6.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 2.7 6.7
Fouls 14.9 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHSO MSU
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.1 71.9
% of Possessions with CHSO MSU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 55.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 20.7%
Player Fouled 18.4% 22.1%
Turnover 18.2% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 4.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHSO MSU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 32.1%