NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU WOF
Points 71.0 70.0
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 26.0
Points From Free Throws 15.0 11.8
Shooting ETSU WOF
Field Goals Made 23.7 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 56.8
Field Goal % 40.0% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 15.0 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 19.0
Free Throw % 66.1% 61.9%
Ball Control ETSU WOF
Rebounds 38.2 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 10.5
Turnovers 8.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.6
Steals 6.6 4.0
Fouls 15.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU WOF
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 68.4
% of Possessions with ETSU WOF
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 31.5%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.8%
Turnover 12.7% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU WOF
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 29.4%