NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ETSU ACU
Points 72.5 69.4
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 14.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 18.4
Shooting ETSU ACU
Field Goals Made 25.5 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 54.3
Field Goal % 44.4% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 14.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 14.8 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 25.0
Free Throw % 66.1% 73.4%
Ball Control ETSU ACU
Rebounds 40.0 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 8.3
Turnovers 13.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.1
Steals 6.2 7.2
Fouls 18.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ETSU ACU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 68.9
% of Possessions with ETSU ACU
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 18.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 25.1%
Turnover 18.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ETSU ACU
Shot Blocked 3.9% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 37.0% 23.8%