NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU NEB
Points 74.0 73.4
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 25.9
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.5
Shooting OSU NEB
Field Goals Made 26.1 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 61.1
Field Goal % 42.0% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 17.7
Free Throw % 75.2% 76.0%
Ball Control OSU NEB
Rebounds 39.5 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.4
Turnovers 9.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.0
Steals 5.0 4.6
Fouls 14.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU NEB
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 71.2
% of Possessions with OSU NEB
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 29.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.6%
Turnover 12.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU NEB
Shot Blocked 3.3% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 25.2%