NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU IND
Points 71.9 68.3
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 14.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 12.5
Shooting OSU IND
Field Goals Made 24.7 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 14.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 18.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 65.9%
Ball Control OSU IND
Rebounds 37.7 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.4
Turnovers 8.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.1
Steals 6.0 3.8
Fouls 15.8 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU IND
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 69.7
% of Possessions with OSU IND
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 18.2%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.5%
Turnover 12.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU IND
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 26.0%