NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO ORST
Points 78.9 69.7
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 16.4
Points From Free Throws 17.0 12.1
Shooting COLO ORST
Field Goals Made 27.6 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 56.2
Field Goal % 50.5% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 17.0 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 16.4
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.5%
Ball Control COLO ORST
Rebounds 35.2 27.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 6.7
Turnovers 11.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.1
Steals 5.5 6.0
Fouls 14.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO ORST
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 66.4
% of Possessions with COLO ORST
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 23.5%
Player Fouled 24.5% 20.9%
Turnover 15.7% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO ORST
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 20.7%