NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO UCLA
Points 72.5 66.2
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 15.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 12.8
Shooting COLO UCLA
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 56.3
Field Goal % 47.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 16.1 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 17.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 74.3%
Ball Control COLO UCLA
Rebounds 35.1 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.3
Turnovers 11.5 8.7
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.7
Steals 4.5 5.9
Fouls 14.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO UCLA
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 67.1
% of Possessions with COLO UCLA
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 21.7%
Player Fouled 26.2% 21.3%
Turnover 17.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO UCLA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 23.9%