NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO WSU
Points 70.8 72.2
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 44.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 16.8
Points From Free Throws 15.1 11.4
Shooting COLO WSU
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 59.2
Field Goal % 45.2% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 16.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.0%
Ball Control COLO WSU
Rebounds 32.9 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.1
Turnovers 10.2 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 5.1
Steals 4.9 5.2
Fouls 13.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO WSU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 69.3
% of Possessions with COLO WSU
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 22.5%
Player Fouled 22.4% 19.0%
Turnover 14.7% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO WSU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 26.5%