NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO WASH
Points 83.4 79.5
Total Points   162.9
Points From 2-Pointers 45.8 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 16.9 12.3
Shooting COLO WASH
Field Goals Made 29.8 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 61.6
Field Goal % 49.6% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 16.9 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 17.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.5%
Ball Control COLO WASH
Rebounds 37.1 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 7.1
Turnovers 10.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.9
Steals 5.6 5.9
Fouls 14.6 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO WASH
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 72.0
% of Possessions with COLO WASH
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 26.1%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.5%
Turnover 14.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO WASH
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 20.5%