NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLO KSU
Points 76.5 71.6
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 19.2
Points From Free Throws 17.8 13.7
Shooting COLO KSU
Field Goals Made 26.3 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 57.0
Field Goal % 45.4% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 17.8 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 19.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 71.9%
Ball Control COLO KSU
Rebounds 36.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.6
Turnovers 10.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.0
Steals 6.9 5.6
Fouls 14.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLO KSU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 68.9
% of Possessions with COLO KSU
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 26.6%
Player Fouled 23.4% 20.1%
Turnover 14.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLO KSU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 25.2%