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Miss State at Texas A&M
Sat Feb 22, 2020
3:30pm ET
College Station, TX
Miss State at Texas A&M: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 4, Total Points: 130.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-1 | 18-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 9-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-1 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 13-8-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
Texas A&M Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -21.5 | W by 32 | +10.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Ohio St | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | S Methodist | -5.5 | W by 13 | +7.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Oral Roberts | -20.0 | W by 8 | -12.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Penn St | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Iowa St | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Virginia | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | DePaul | -19.5 | W by 25 | +5.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Memphis | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Houston | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Hsn Christian | -34.0 | W by 27 | -7.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Prairie View | -28.0 | W by 25 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | LSU | -11.5 | L by 15 | -26.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kentucky | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Arkansas | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | LSU | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Missouri | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Mississippi | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Alabama | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Arkansas | -11.5 | L by 7 | -18.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Tennessee | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Georgia | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Miss State | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | W by 26 | +27.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Kentucky | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Florida | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Nebraska | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Houston | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| MSST -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1724 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1069 times (62.0%).
- The team like Texas A&M won the game 655 times (38.0%).
- The team like Texas A&M did better against the spread, going 848-831-45 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4857 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas A&M did better against the spread, going 2397-2362-98 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -3.5 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/22 03:36 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/22 03:28 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 03:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 02:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/22 01:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/22 01:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 12:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 11:12 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 09:33 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 09:12 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 04:42 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 12:04 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/21 07:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/21 07:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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