NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE CIN
Points 71.1 75.6
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 21.5
Points From Free Throws 13.8 11.7
Shooting DRKE CIN
Field Goals Made 24.9 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 61.7
Field Goal % 42.2% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 13.8 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 17.0
Free Throw % 74.8% 68.9%
Ball Control DRKE CIN
Rebounds 31.9 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 11.6
Turnovers 9.2 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.1
Steals 5.5 5.4
Fouls 13.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE CIN
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 73.0
% of Possessions with DRKE CIN
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 26.3%
Player Fouled 19.5% 18.7%
Turnover 12.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE CIN
Shot Blocked 6.7% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 31.7%