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Samford at Mercer
Wed Feb 8, 2023
7:00pm ET
Macon, GA
Samford at Mercer: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Samford by 4, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SAM | adv | MER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 17-12-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-0 | 9-8-1 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
Mercer Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Clark Atlanta | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Chicago St | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Alabama | +30.5 | L by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | TN State | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | W Michigan | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Georgia | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Alabama | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Georgia St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Thomas (GA) | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 12/29 | Home | Talladega | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | E Tenn St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | VMI | -4.5 | W by 22 | +17.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Wofford | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Chattanooga | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Samford | +13.0 | L by 7 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Citadel | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +11.5 | W by 6 | +17.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | E Tenn St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VMI | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Furman | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | W Carolina | +7.0 | L by 33 | -26.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Samford | +10.0 | W by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Citadel | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Chattanooga | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Furman | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Citadel | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Samford | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| SAM -4.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2016 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Samford won the game 1236 times (61.3%).
- The team like Mercer won the game 780 times (38.7%).
- The team like Mercer did better against the spread, going 1007-951-58 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 306 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mercer did better against the spread, going 158-141-7 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 06:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/08 06:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 04:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 03:37 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 02:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/08 02:37 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 02:22 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 01:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/08 12:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 10:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/08 10:19 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:25 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/08 08:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:16 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 09:03 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/07 03:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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