NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE COR
Points 76.1 75.0
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 30.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 11.6
Shooting YALE COR
Field Goals Made 27.6 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 57.9
Field Goal % 46.6% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 28.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 13.0 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.6
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.2%
Ball Control YALE COR
Rebounds 36.0 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.3
Turnovers 9.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 5.9 6.2
Fouls 13.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE COR
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 67.3
% of Possessions with YALE COR
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 37.5%
Player Fouled 23.0% 19.6%
Turnover 13.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE COR
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 21.9%