NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YALE HOW
Points 80.5 68.2
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 23.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.1
Shooting YALE HOW
Field Goals Made 29.0 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 54.0
Field Goal % 51.5% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 19.9
Free Throw % 69.8% 76.0%
Ball Control YALE HOW
Rebounds 33.6 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 8.3
Turnovers 8.4 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.5
Steals 6.3 4.4
Fouls 15.1 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YALE HOW
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 65.9
% of Possessions with YALE HOW
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 26.4%
Player Fouled 24.7% 21.8%
Turnover 12.1% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken YALE HOW
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 24.5%