NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU UAB
Points 62.7 82.0
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 11.2 18.5
Points From Free Throws 15.8 26.1
Shooting AAMU UAB
Field Goals Made 21.5 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 54.6
Field Goal % 38.2% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 3.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.8 26.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 35.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 74.3%
Ball Control AAMU UAB
Rebounds 31.5 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 13.8
Turnovers 14.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.6
Steals 6.5 8.4
Fouls 20.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU UAB
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 76.2
% of Possessions with AAMU UAB
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 19.7%
Player Fouled 21.0% 27.8%
Turnover 19.1% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU UAB
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 39.5%