NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT MTU
Points 72.2 60.3
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 23.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.2
Shooting LT MTU
Field Goals Made 25.2 19.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 55.3
Field Goal % 42.7% 34.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 11.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 37.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 19.8
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.4%
Ball Control LT MTU
Rebounds 42.1 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.1
Turnovers 9.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.6
Steals 5.9 4.5
Fouls 14.2 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Middle Tenn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT MTU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 66.8
% of Possessions with LT MTU
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 28.7%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.5%
Turnover 13.3% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT MTU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 23.6%