NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUT CREI
Points 70.6 83.0
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 31.0
Points From Free Throws 7.7 9.5
Shooting BUT CREI
Field Goals Made 28.1 31.6
Field Goals Attempted 68.5 63.6
Field Goal % 41.0% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 7.7 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 9.6 11.7
Free Throw % 80.1% 80.8%
Ball Control BUT CREI
Rebounds 33.3 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.7
Turnovers 7.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.0
Steals 5.1 4.1
Fouls 11.6 9.7

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUT CREI
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 70.7
% of Possessions with BUT CREI
2 Point Attempt 59.6% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 35.2%
Player Fouled 13.4% 16.0%
Turnover 9.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUT CREI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 23.3%