NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU ALCN
Points 72.2 73.9
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 16.2
Points From Free Throws 18.1 20.4
Shooting AAMU ALCN
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 57.2
Field Goal % 46.6% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 15.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.1 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 28.3
Free Throw % 72.3% 72.2%
Ball Control AAMU ALCN
Rebounds 33.3 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 14.1
Turnovers 13.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.8
Steals 6.0 8.0
Fouls 17.9 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU ALCN
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 74.8
% of Possessions with AAMU ALCN
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 17.4%
Player Fouled 24.2% 24.9%
Turnover 18.2% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU ALCN
Shot Blocked 3.2% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 37.5%