NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT SCU
Points 70.0 70.1
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 23.5
Points From Free Throws 18.3 13.4
Shooting LT SCU
Field Goals Made 22.9 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 58.2
Field Goal % 40.4% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 18.3 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 19.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 69.6%
Ball Control LT SCU
Rebounds 36.8 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.0
Turnovers 9.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.9
Steals 6.6 4.4
Fouls 14.9 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT SCU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 70.3
% of Possessions with LT SCU
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 26.9%
Player Fouled 24.6% 21.1%
Turnover 12.8% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT SCU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 29.7%